Nigerian Journal of Banking and Financial Issues (NJBFI)
Effects Of Macro-Economic Variables On Non-Oil Exports In Nigeria
Abstract
Nigeria's non-oil exports have not been performing optimally as a result of numerous factors of which unprecedented movement in macroeconomic variables constitutes. The study examined the effect of macroeconomic variables on non-oil export in Nigeria from 1986-2022. Data used were analysed with Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL). The dependent variable aggregate non-oil export is made as a function of real gross domestic product, exchange rate, inflation rate, interest rate, and government expenditure. Evident from the result indicated that gross domestic product has a significant direct impact on non-oil exports. The exchange rate and government expenditure were positive but insignificant. Inflation and interest rates are significant but negatively related to non-oil export in Nigeria. The study concluded that the main macroeconomic variables that significantly induced non–oil export in Nigeria are real gross domestic product, interest rate, and inflation rate.